Kansas City @ CLEVELAND
Kansas City +126 over CLEVELAND

Pinnacle +126 BET3120 200SportsInteraction +120  BetOnlin+125 Bookmaker +120

Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

Kansas City +126 over CLEVELAND

7:10 PM EST. The market scoffs at Brad Keller (RHP - KC) and his 6.39 ERA after 18 starts and 89 innings but he has one skill xERA doesn't capture: in addition to the low fly-balls (27%), he also gets a decent chunk of popups, so outfield flies are quite rare. xHR/F reflects this; it's a foundational skill that figures to play well against the Indians, who rely on jacks to score because rarely can they string together hits to put up anything worthwhile.

Tristen McKenzie (RHP - CLE) has started 10 games and has one victory because he cannot pitch deep into games. His strikeout stuff is evident but he’s wild with 39 walks in 42 innings, which does not bode well against a Kansas City team that does not swing at a lot of stuff outside the zone. The Royals are among the league leaders in fewest K’s per nine. McKenzie has a 1.58 WHIP. He has a 23% groundball rate. Those are both horrible numbers. He also looks like Gumby out there on the mound, meaning his frame looks like it’s made of rubber. Even in the unlikely event that he’s good for four innings, he won’t last long because he never does and his workload is being limited. Gumby and the Baseball Team are not a good combo to be spotting a price with.

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Our Pick

Kansas City +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO