Chicago @ DETROIT
DETROIT -1 +297 over Chicago

Pinnacle -1½ +297 BET365 -1½ +250 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnlin-1½ +290 Bookmaker N/A

Posted at 11:45 PM EST. 

DETROIT -1½ +297 over Chicago

1:10 PM EST. Matt Manning (RHP - DET) has not missed many bats, as he has a 9% K% and six strikeouts in 14 frames. After throwing at least five innings at LAA and vs. St. Louis, he only pitched 3.2 innings when he allowed nine earned runs at Cleveland on June 28. Manning is still raw but the kid has the stuff to thrive and has also been very unfortunate with a 47% strand rate. Backing Manning is risky to be sure but we wouldn’t be taking back prices like this if it wasn’t. Besides, the price here dictates the play and that’s what this wager is all about.

The Tigers are playing a strong and competitive brand of baseball these days but the market is treating them like they’re the Diamondbacks equivalent. Detroit has won 10 of its last 17 games. The task appears to be a tough one today, as Lucas Giolito (RHP - CHW) will start for the White Sox and his numbers are rock solid. However, his batted ball profile carries risk (33% grounders, 44% fly-balls). His swing and miss rate last game was just 7.2% and one has to wonder if that’s an anomaly or if it coincides with the crackdown on using sticky stuff. Giolito’s first pitch strike rate was also shaky at 52%. Over his last five starts, Giolito is 1-1, which means four of those five games could have ended in a loss for the South Side, so when he starts, the White Sox are not automatic. Those days are all but gone. Big overlay.

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Our Pick

DETROIT -1 +297 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.94)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO