Tampa Bay @ WASHINGTON
Tampa Bay -1 +135 over WASHINGTON

Pinnacle -1½ +135 BET365 -1½ +135 SportsInteraction -1½ +130 BetOnline -1½ +129 Bookmaker -1½ +135

Posted at 11:15 AM EST. 

Tampa Bay -1½ +135 over WASHINGTON

4:05 PM EST. Scan Jon Lester’s (LHP - WAS) key metrics: K%, K-BB%, xERA, opponent OPS. All have been in a pretty much straight-line, year-over-year decline for four years with the exception of some recovery in 2019. But that turned out to be a dead cat bounce, as 2020 re-confirmed the downward trend. At age 37, there's no pushing this snowball back up the hill.

Drew Rasmussen (RHP - TB) overcame two Tommy John surgeries to make his MLB debut in August of last year and thriving in a multi-inning role before giving up 7 earned runs in the final week. A primo fastball velocity led to whiffs and Ks while H% and HR/F wrecked his ratios. So while there are hurdles to clear, notably his historic wildness, he’s one to watch for sure. Rasmussen has 32 K’s in 21 frames. He’s appeared in 18 games, none as a starter so this looks to be a bullpen game for the Rays. Dude is almost unhittable when he's throwing strikes but we’ll leave that out for now and focus more on fading Jon Lester and his weak and declining skills.

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Our Pick

Tampa Bay -1 +135 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.70)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO