St. Louis @ DETROIT
DETROIT +105 over St. Louis

Pinnacle +104 BET365 +105 SportsInteraction +101 BetOnline -101 Bookmaker +103

Posted at 8:50 AM EST. 

DETROIT +105 over St. Louis

1:10 PM EST. Matt Manning (RHP - DET) allowed two runs in five frames in his MLB debut on June 17. Start No. 2 comes against a Cardinals’ club which can’t get out of its own way recently. The Cardinals own a league-worst .586 OPS over the last two weeks. They are at their worst against RHPs, and they typically offer up a lot of right-vs.-right matchups. There is much more to say about Manning but we’re going to reserve that for another day because this wager is more about fading both the Cardinals and their dreadful starter. 

How many times have we faded John Gant (RHP, STL) this year and lost? We’re not sure but what we are sure of is that dude borrowed money from us and it’s time to pay it back with interest. You see, the signs of impending doom were there the first six weeks of the season, and now the numbers are about to come home to roost. In 62 innings this season, Gant has walked 44 batters while striking out 46 and in this league that spells doom in big bold letters. John Gant has a 3.50 ERA but his xERA is 6.44. He also owns an atrocious 6.1% swing and miss rate over his last five starts. Don’t look now, but the Tigers have scored 4.7 runs per game on the strength of a .749 OPS this month and after they get through with Gant, they’ll see a bullpen that is responsible for the worst xERA among all 30 teams. The wrong side is favored here again.

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Our Pick

DETROIT +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO