Toronto @ BOSTON
Toronto +108 over BOSTON

Pinnacle +108 BET365 +100 SportsInteraction +100 BetOnlin+106 Bookmaker +100

Posted at 1:15 PM EST. 

Toronto +108 over OAKLAND

4:10 PM EST. The Red Sox came back last night after being down 5-1 when they plated the go ahead run in the bottom of the ninth. The celebration was on with Sox players hugging, high fiving and back slapping all the way to the clubhouse. It was Boston's seventh win in its last nine games and now they'll send Nick Pivetta (RHP - BOS) out to the bump for his second start this week. Pivetta is 6-1 this season and sports a 3.72 ERA. However, it's not all sunshine and rainbows. Dude sports both a lacklustre groundball rate (34.6%) and swing and miss rate (10.6%). Pivetta is walking more batters this year (4.34 BB/9) than he has at any point in his career. A dramatic drop in his HR/9 from 2.30 last season to 0.70 appears to be more luck driven than anything else. Opposing hitters are making hard contact but those balls just aren't flying over the fence just yet.

Steve Matz (LHP - TOR) has the distinction of toeing the slab for the Blue Jays today and he appears to be a great value play in this matchup. Matz sports a 4.50 ERA, but his xERA is lower at 3.73. An uptick in his ground ball rate (46.5%) has driven down his HR/9 from 4.11 in 2020 to 1.27 here in 2021. Matz's stock is low after a run of starts where he has allowed four or more runs in three of his last four trips to the bump. His last outing was a loss to the Astros last Sunday. We're willing to forgive one's struggles to the Astronauts, as they strike out less than any other team in the majors while the Red Sox are a middle of the pack club in that department. While this play is a situational fade of that walkoff win, for what it is worth, the Blue Jays have enjoyed success against Pivetta, who is 0-1 with a 5.94 ERA in three games against Toronto. Earlier this season, the Jays lit him up for five runs on seven hits in five innings of work back on May 20. Right back on the Jays here.

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Our Pick

Toronto +108 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.16)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO
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