Kansas City @ OAKLAND
Kansas City +240 over OAKLAND

Pinnacle +138 BET365 +140 SportsInteraction +140 BetOnlin+139 Bookmaker +140

Posted at 1:15 PM EST.

Kansas City +140 over OAKLAND

4:07 PM EST. We ripped up our ticket on the Royals last night after the A's won the game 4-3 with a walk off in the bottom of the ninth. In the spirit of sticking with it, we are coming right back on Kansas City again today. We wrote about Jackson Kowar (RHP - KC) before his start against the Angels back on June 7. Dude lasted just 39 pitches; it probably took longer to read his writeup. It was a total disaster, no doubt, as Kowar faced just seven Angel hitters. Here were some of the highlights. Walk, wild pitch, RBI single, another walk, another wild pitch, another RBI single, another wild pitch, an RBI out and finally another RBI single. Buddy didn't make it out of the inning, recording just two outs. Despite the wild night, we are not going to hesitate to come right back on Kowar here. His profile is one that should transfer to the majors, even if his debut did not go as planned. If dude can get his nerves under control, it could be a long day for Oakland hitters.

The A's will send a young hurler to the mound today as well, as James Kaprielian (RHP - OAK) will get the nod. Kaprielian has started five games this season and sports a 2-1 record, with his first loss coming in his last start against the Rockies. His 3.08 ERA looks great on the surface, but his 4.14 xERA might be a better reflection of how he's pitching. A high strand rate (83.9%) combined with a low ground ball rate (31.4%) and low swinging strike rate (9.6%) suggests that Kaprielian may be living a bit of a charmed life. Guys with numbers like that usually do not post sub 4.00 ERAs. With Kansas City being a club that does not waste swings (second lowest in strikeouts next to the Astros) those chickens could come home to roost. If they do, we have a great chance to cash this ticket.

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Our Pick

Kansas City +240 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.80)

Baltimore -1 +170 over DETROIT
Cincinnati -1 +230 over N.Y. METS
Colorado -1 +200 over SAN DIEGO