BALTIMORE +103 over N.Y. Mets

Pinnacle +103 BET365 +105 SportsInteraction +100 BetOnlin+101 Bookmaker +100

Posted at 4:22 PM EST. 

BALTIMORE +103 over N,Y. Mets

7:05 PM EST. Bruce Zimmermann (LHP - BAL) has not thrown a gem across nine starts this season but he’s close. Recently he has shown some better form, as he owns a 21/5 K/BB across his last four appearances. In five starts at home, he has been adequate, going 2-2 with a 4.21 ERA and 22/8 K/BB in 26 IP. We have covered Zimmermann before in this space and will continue to keep an eye on him. We like his ability to keep hitters off balance by changing speeds and using a variety of different pitches but this wager is more about betting on Baltimore to beat the Mets.  

After a three-game set in Arizona followed by a highly competitive four-game set in San Diego, the Mets fly back to the East Coast for their 8th straight game on the road. Indeed, the Mets might be very vulnerable in this two-game set.

David Peterson (LHP - BAL) has had both disasters and gems scattered throughout his 10 games started this year but there are several reasons to be skeptical: 1) Subpar xBB% and swing and miss rate all but cement a poor K-BB%; 2) More bad outings than good, per dominant start/disaster start % and the same held true last season; 3) Current form is getting progressively worse. Peterson comes into this start with a 1.40 WHIP and a weak 53% first-pitch strike rate. Over his last four starts, he’s walked nine in 18 frames while posting a 4.46 xERA over that span.   

Since May 8th, a span of one month, the Orioles offense has been among the best in the business. They rank top six in several offensive categories over that span including OPS, OBA, team batting average and more. The Orioles also rank second in the entire league in OPS against lefties and will face a lefty here. Mets are favored, why?


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Our Pick

BALTIMORE +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)