Cleveland @ BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE +108 over Cleveland

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Posted at 12:00 PM EST. 

BALTIMORE +108 over Cleveland

1:05 PM EST. Cal Quantrill (RHP - CLE) has the pedigree of his famous father and all that comes with being a former top 10 draft pick (#8 to San Diego in 2016). In his rookie season, the Padres used Quantrill mostly as a starter, as he took the bump to start the game in 18 of his 23 appearances. In 2019, they apparently saw enough. In 2020, he was relegated to the bullpen by the Friars prior to being traded to Cleveland in the Mike Clevinger deal. He's started just three games in his Indians career spanning to last year, including just one here in 2021. That was a 3 2/3 inning appearance against the White Sox on May 31 in which Quantrill gave up one run on four hits, throwing 60 pitches. On the surface, dude looks to be lights out, but his 2.08 ERA is very misleading when you consider his xERA is a bloated 4.67. Quantrill has also been fortunate, as his strand rate is 89% while his swinging strike rate is just 9.7%, well below the league average. It is always a risk to spot a price with a team that scores as little as the Indians. We don't know how long Quantrill will go here but we do not fear him or the Indians bullpen.

Baltimore will send Jorge Lopez (RHP - BAL) to the bump and one has to wonder what he has to do to get some respect around here. Lopez is coming off a quality start in his last outing after going six innings, giving up just one run on five hits while striking out seven Twins' hitters. He did not factor into the decision. Unlike Quantrill, Lopez sports an xERA lower than his surface number. A 49.3% ground ball rate has kept his HR/9 (1.59) low and kept him out of trouble for the most part. A big uptick in his strikeout rate (6.46 to 9.18) has also led to his improvement this season. While not one of the Orioles' highly touted prospects, there is a reason the former second round pick in 2011 has stuck around the Majors as long as he has. He's pretty damn good and a solid option when taking back a price against a toothless invader.

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Our Pick

BALTIMORE +108 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.16)

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