Arizona +159 over MILWAUKEE

Pinnacle +158 BET365 +155 SportsInteraction +150 BetOnline +159 Bookmaker +150

Posted at 2:50 PM EST. 

Arizona +159 over MILWAUKEE

7:40 PM EST. Despite Jon Duplantier’s (RHP, ARI) solid stuff, frame, and makeup, this is an oft-injured profile that has found it hard to stay on the field. 6'4" and 229 pounds, Duplantier features solid athleticism and drive, presenting a frame with which to hang innings off of and the work ethic to maintain it. The 26-year-old has a four-pitch repertoire of average-to-above-average stuff, paced by fringe-average command of the lot. The fastball sits lower than previously, but still around 93 mph, and it features good movement. Duplantier's breaking balls are his best offerings, but his change still lags some, and with his lengthy injury history to both his elbow and shoulder, he is not on many radars right now. Dude is a former top prospect that missed last season to an elbow injury, after missing time in 2018-19 for separate issues. He mixes four-seam/sinker with three distinct off-speed offerings, fueling 29% K% in minors, but limited effectiveness in a small MLB sample. The arsenal is good.

Baseball is a funny game. Here’s a starter with less skills than just about any other starter and yet the Brewers have won three of Brett Anderson’s (LHP - MIL) last four starts. Anderson has started eight games and has pitched a total of 32 frames, thus, he’s averaging four innings per start. In those 32 frames, Anderson has struck out 20, walked 11 and has a 4.8% swing and miss rate. He also has a very high 23.1% HR/F rate, which is the highest in the majors among qualified starters. This is a dead arm that had a WHIP last game of 2.10, yet his ERA last game was 2.70. His high wire act cannot last much longer.


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Our Pick

Arizona +159 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.18)

Bet at 5dimes