Miami +140 over TORONTO

Pinnacle +139 BET365 +140 SportsInteraction +140 BetOnline +140 Bookmaker +140

Posted at 3:00 PM EST. 

Miami +140 over TORONTO

7:07 PM EST. Sandy Alcantara (RHP - MIA) has found better results in his last two starts after allowing eight earned runs in 1.1 innings at L.A. on May 14. Despite that outing, dude still has a 3.46 ERA and a 3.06 xERA. That’s how good he is. He also has an elite 15% swing & miss rate. Alcantara’s 52% groundball rate, (70% last three starts) and 3.67 career xERA in road starts supports getting behind him here. He has also largely avoided barrels in 2021 with a 2.9% Barrel% against. This a fucking elite starter taking back a price that is reserved for dregs and we really hope we make the books/market pay for offering us such an absurd price on such an elite starter. Sandy Alcantara has allowed two earned runs over his past 14 innings and is priced today like he’s Bruce Zimmermann.

Robby Ray (LHP - TOR) is looking good, no question about it with 60 K’s and just 13 walks issued in 52 frames. Dude has cut down his BB% to a large degree and that is the main reason why he’s been so effective. Ray is not some hot young prospect. Last year, He posted an MLB-worst BB% (min. 30 IP), while a fly-ball% spike magnified his HR issues. Ray still racked up a ton of Ks and his velocity recovered. We’ve seen hot streaks like this from him before and then he loses it out of nowhere. We’re not suggesting he'll lose it here but he’s 29-years old and we’ve seen this movie before. In any case, Sandy Alcantara is too good to be taking back prices like this.

Finally, the Jays move to their new temporary home tonight in Buffalo so there could be many distractions for a young team that just might try a bit too hard to make an instant impression.


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Our Pick

Miami +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)