Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 5:15 PM EST
Detroit +161 over SEATTLE
10:10 PM EST. This is not the first time that Casey Mize (RHP - DET) has appeared in this space and it will not be the last. Dude has the stuff to front end a rotation and that's going to say something if/when the Tigers’ plethora of pitching prospects pop off. Manning, Mize, Skubal might not be Glavine, Maddux, Smoltz (yet), but plenty of teams would love to have those three hurlers in the system. Detroit has a nice selection of bats too. They were cold to start the season but the sticks are starting to heat up. The Tigers posted a crooked number against the Cubs on Saturday (9-8) and did the same in games against the Royals, Twins and Red Sox in four of their last 10 games. From our perch, the Tigers are a nice little side that is on the up. Think the NHL's Senators or the NBA's Timberwolves. Quality outfits that are priced like the dregs, but most certainly are not. Those are the kinds of teams we like to target, as they provide tremendous value, which is the name of the game.
Yusei Kikuchi (LHP - SEA) has been rolling as of late and to be honest, he looks pretty good, but dude isn't Clayton Kershaw in his prime. Regardless, let's leave Kikuchi to the side and focus on what really matters here. More often than not, price dictates the play and that is the case in this game. The Mariners' stock is soaring after a three game sweep of the Indians. Fueling that surge is the call up of five tool prospect Jarred Kelenic, who hit his first career home run in his second game. His promotion is the first of what should be an exciting crop of rookies, but with it comes great expectations that are not always easy to fulfil out of the gate. How long did it take Byron Buxton to become a quality Major Leaguer? Back to the M's, who have not spotted a price in this range since Randy Johnson was starting and Junior was in center field. Jokes aside, for some perspective, Seattle has only closed as the betting chalk three times this season. THREE. Twice against Baltimore and once against the Giants in the second game of the season. The prices the Mariners were spotting ranged from -114 to -123, not exactly elite team territory. Now the Mariners are priced like they are the Yankees playing the Tigers. Let’s stick with the buy-low/sell high narrative and see where the chips land.
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Detroit +161 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.22)