Cincinnati @ COLORADO
COLORADO -1 +179 over Cincinnati

Pinnacle -1½ +179 BET365 -1½ +160 SportsInteraction -1½ +160 BetOnlin-1½ +175 Bookmaker -1½ +160

Posted at 11:30 AM EST

COLORADO -1½ +179 over Cincinnati

3:10 PM EST. Antonio Senzatela (LHP - COL) was activated from the 10-day injured list (groin) on May 11 and he may indeed get whacked here. It’s Coors Field after all but dude at least has an elite groundball rate (53%) and an xERA of 4.97, which is better than it looks because xERA does not include park factors. Coors Field doesn’t give a shit about xERA’s.

Did you know that the Rockies have the 4th best OPS v lefties in the majors? Well, if you did not, you do now and they’ll be facing a lefty today in Jeff Hoffman (LHP - CIN). Hoffman was moved to the bullpen last year after which he cranked up his fastball a notch, but his skills remained stagnant, and Coors was still unkind (17 ER in 11.2 IP) to him. His once-decent groundball rate is gone (38% this year) and his line-drive rate (very high at 29%) says this venue is a big problem. Jeff Hoffman has started seven games this year and has one pure quality start and now he’s favored on the road because why? The Coors Field angle is back in play.

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Our Pick

COLORADO -1 +179 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.58)

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