Chicago @ DETROIT
DETROIT -1 +231 over Chicago

Pinnacle -1½ +231 BET365 -1½ +200 SportsInteraction N/A BetOnline -1½ +210 Bookmaker -1½ +200

Posted at 3:00 PM EST

DETROIT -1½ +231 over Chicago

7:10 PM EST Tarik Skubal (LHP - DET) has been pretty terrible (5.67 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 6.18 xERA), but he earns one of the day's better K ratings thanks to the Cubs owning a subpar 69% contact rate on the season, and they've even been slightly more whiff-prone against LHP (68%). Skubal remains one of the more intriguing young starters in the game but he's still a work-in-progress with a heavy flyball tilt (22% grounders) and spotty control (42% ball%). He’s on the verge of coming to life but an 0-5 record with bad surface numbers assures us he’s underpriced in a big way. Truth be told, his stuff is nasty and now he’s just a tweak or two from putting it all together.

Jake Arietta (RHP - CHC) is not chalk material. He’s a shell of his former self now, and it's getting worse. As swings-and-misses dry up, strikeouts are evaporating. That leaves him as a sinkerballer that gets hammered; reference .634 Slg on his sinker. He's no longer worth a look as the betting favorite and nothing more needs to be said other than the Tigers have some swag going on while the Cubbies have nothing going on.

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Our Pick

DETROIT -1 +231 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.62)

Bet at 5dimes