Kansas City @ DETROIT
Kansas City +108 over DETROIT

Pinnacle +108 BET365 +105 SportsInteraction +100 BetOnlin+105 Bookmaker +103

Posted at 11:00 AM EST

Kansas City +105 over DETROIT

1:10 PM EST. Spencer Turnbull (RHP - DET) has started four games this year and comes in with a 4.74 ERA with five walks issued and 15 K’s in 19 frames. His xERA (4.54) is right around the same mark as his surface ERA.  Turnbull’s ERA/WHIP show growth to the unsuspecting eye, but the underlying skills are a mixed bag. His velocity and swing & miss rate improved, but his xERA/xWHIP show a decline from 2019, bb% spiked and HR/F to xHR/F disconnect portends potential disaster. Frankly, nothing in this overall skills picture is very exciting but he’s favored today because Kansas City’s starter looks awful on paper. 

David Lynch (LHP - KC) has made two starts covering a lousy five frames and in those five frames, he struck out three batters while walking five. The 34th pick in the 2018 draft spent 2020 at the alternate site. Mid-90s fastball and slider led to 157 K in 147.2 IP in MiLB (minors) and a dominating 2019 Arizona Fall League performance. The highly regarded Lynch made his MLB debut vs. CLE on Monday May 4 in a 4.2 IP mixed bag (4 hits, 4 BB, 3Ks, 3 runs allowed) that shed little light as to his MLB staying power right now. We have no clue whether this starter is major-league ready but what we do know is that he has great stuff and he’s facing a Tigers’ team that is dead last in the majors in several batting categories versus left-handed pitchers.

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Our Pick

Kansas City +108 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.16)

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