Baltimore @ TEXAS
Baltimore -101 over TEXAS

Pinnacle -101 BET365 -110 SportsInteraction -110  BetOnline -102 Bookmaker -110

Posted at 11:15 PM EST. 

Baltimore -101 over TEXAS

2:35 PM EST. Kyle Gibson (RHP - TEX) has struck out 11 hitters while allowing one earned run in his last 13 innings. Dude is 2-0 in three starts and now becomes one of the best sell-high targets in the game. Kyle Gibson has a WHIP of 1.50. Anything above 1.40 is horrible. In 13 frames, he’s walked six batters and struck out 12 for a weak ratio. His first-pitch strike rate is also weak at 52%n and his xERA of 4.84 tells the true story of a pitcher that has been fortunate with an 83% strand rate. How many times have we seen this movie? 10? 20? Gibson’s entire career is lined with a few good starts in a row and then he matches it with a string of disasters. Gibson has been the epitome of mediocre for more than a decade and he hasn’t found anything new.

John Means (LHP - BAL) has validated his breakout potential over his first three starts. His excellent surface stats are supported by a 14.2% swing & miss rate and 71% first-pitch strike rate. His 88.8 mph exit velocity was among the 20 lowest posted by qualified starters over the first two weeks of the season. Means’ 1.02 WHIP is also elite so keep riding him until the market catches up. Gibson and the Rangers favored over Means and the O’s is incorrect.

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Our Pick

Baltimore -101 (Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110