Colorado @ SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO -1½ +121 over Colorado

Pinnacle -1½ +121 BET365 -1½ +115 SportsInteraction -1½ +111 BetOnline -1½ +113

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. 

SAN FRANCISCO -1½ +121 over Colorado

4:05 PM EST. Don’t be afraid to play the home team on the run-line in what is perceived as a pitcher’s park because Oracle Park is not a pitcher’s park during the day (game starts at 1:00 PM local time). Aside from all the quirks, Oracle Park plays as a neutral park, overall, with summer days favoring hitters, oddly, and the damp nighttime air being particularly helpful to pitchers. As an open-air park by the Bay, the park is also quite subject to variable winds.

Yesterday we discussed how the Rockies stock was higher than it should be after they put up some crooked numbers in their first seven games. We cited some skewed numbers from playing at Coors and that they would likely be exposed in this series as the weak hitting team that they are. Well, the Rocks made Johnny Cueto look like Sandy Koufax yesterday and nede up scoring just one lousy run (a meaningless solo shot in the 9th) while belting out four hits. We’ll now continue our attack on the road Rockies.

Logan Webb came into last year as a decent prospect that sailed through the minors (3.36 ERA over 302 IP) on the strength of a massive ground-ball rate. Dude is finding MLB hitters more of a challenge but his repertoire helps keep a lid on HR’s and we also like what we saw in his first start of the year. Webb faced Seattle and was tagged for the loss but he had a 13% swing & miss rate while inducing 71% (!) ground-balls and just 6% line-drives.

For the Rockies, it’ll be Chi-Chi Rodriguez (Chee-Chee-Rod) making his second start of the year. In his first start, Chee-Chee Rod only lasted two innings versus the Dodgers at Coors in a game the Rocks would eventually win, 8-5. Three days later, Rodriguez would throw three effective innings out of the pen, thus, he’s already appeared in two games while throwing five innings combined. Thing is, his swing and miss rate in those five frames was a paltry 4.8%. It really doesn’t get much lower than that at this level. Since 2015, Rodriguez has thrown 165 MLB innings with a mere 103 K’s. His WHIP over his last 50 MLB innings is 1.63. With his inability to get hitters to swing & miss, Chi-Chi Rodriguez is batting practice out there.

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Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO -1½ +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)

San Diego -1½ +163 over Milwaukee
N.Y. Yankees -1½ +168 over Toronto
L.A. Angels +108 over Tampa Bay