Pinnacle -1½ +106  BET365 -1½ +105 SportsInteraction -1½ +101 BetOnline -1½ +105

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. 

KANSAS CITY -1½ +105 over Texas

2:10 PM EST. The upstart Royals are 2-0 and have scored 25 runs in two games. You think they’re looking forward to coming to the park today? 

Brady Singer (RHP - KC) was a 2018 1st-round pick with limited high-minors exposure and became a short-season workhorse. His healthy ground-ball rate arrived intact; His K% and BB% were passable in his MLB debut. September kick (10.6% swing & miss rate, 2.73 ERA/4.11 xERA over 30 IP) hints at on-the-fly adjustments, which leaves us wanting to see more. Pitchability, health suggest more ceiling than original projections but this isn’t about backing Singer.

Texas had a 5-0 lead in the first inning on Thursday and lost 14-10. They had a 4-0 lead yesterday after two innings and lost 11-4. The team is 0-2, they’re shell-shocked, and the relievers are hiding in a corner, praying the phone does not ring and when it inevitably does, the next hope is that their name isn’t called.

If Jordan Lyles (RHP - TEX) is third up in the Rangers rotation, who the f**k is fourth and fifth up? Boy, is this ugly and so is Lyles’ skills. Even with the strand rate derailment last year, Lyles expected ratios suggest this wreckage was deserved. His swing & miss collapse hints that K% might not snap back, while xERA/xWHIP history reveals that his "normal" is treacherous. Win-driven results from 2019 is a clear outlier; and as far as his disaster starts history .... it's best not to look if you decide to bet Texas. Lyles is as bad as it gets.

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