Milwaukee @ CLEVELAND
Milwaukee +132 over CLEVELAND

Pinnacle +132 BET365 +125 SportsInteraction +126 5DIMES +128  Bookmaker +127 

Posted at 12:35 PM EST

Milwaukee +132 over CLEVELAND

7:10 PM EST. Carlos Carrasco is coming off a gem against the Cardinals in which he went six full and allowed just two hits and zero runs. The Indians needed 12 innings to win 2-1. Prior to that, Carrasco struggled against the Cubbies, Pittsburgh and Detroit. When the Indians beat Pittsburgh, 6-3, that, too, came in extra innings. Carrasco is good but he’s had a history of injuries and last year a leukemia diagnosis shelved him for an extended period of time. Dude is just not consistent anymore and he pitches for a team that has suffered offensive woes since Day 1 of this year. 

Corbin Burnes (RHP - MIL) is absolutely worth a bet where. He’s looking like one of 2020's breakout candidates, with 12.8 K’s/9  and 2.78 ERA. His 3.56 xERA shows there has been a little good fortune at play (a 4% HR/F), and he just boosted his numbers with back-to-back starts against the Pirates but Cleveland isn't exactly lighting up the scoreboard either (.697 OPS), so Burnes and the Crew look like a solid value pick.  Burnes has 46 K’s in just 32 innings with a supported 16% swing and miss rate.

 

 

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Our Pick

Milwaukee +132 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.64)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110