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Posted at 12:00 PM EST 

3:10 PM EST. As a -175 favorite, the Pirates scored three in the ninth last night for a 6-5 victory to rip our hearts out again but that’s not going to deter us from coming right back against them here. Dario Agrazal (RHP - PIT) struggled in August with a 6.35 ERA backed by a 6.18 xERA. Agrazal allowed a .333 OBA in August, and a dangerous 41% fly-ball rate. He has 27 K’s in 54 innings for a strike rate that is not even minor-league worthy. Agrazal’s 4% swing and miss rate is the lowest in the majors. Across the board, Agrazal has negative sub-scores for K's, ERA and everything else. When he’s favored, he’s an auto-fade.

It doesn’t really matter who starts for the Marlins today, as this is a straight fade against Agrazal but for information purposes, we present to you, Elieser Hernandez (RHP - MIA). Hernandez hasn't looked good at first glance this season (5.06 ERA in 69 IP). But as a starter, he has flashed skills that should put him on your radar: 10.8 K’s/9 2.0 BB’s/9, 4.56 xERA. In his starts, he is missing bats (14.1%) and getting strike one (68%) at elite rates.

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