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Posted at 12:00 PM EST 

7:00 PM EST. Jose Quintana (LHP - CHC) priced in this range against anyone not named Miami, Baltimore or Detroit is simply outrageous. Quintana is priced here like it’s May 1, when When he owned a 3.48 ERA and 10.2 K’s/9 through 34 innings. Since then, he has since posted a 5.62 xERA and with a mere 6 K’s/9. After posting a 12% swing & miss rate through the end of April, he has posted an 8% swing % miss rate in the 3½ months that followed, so it’s no wonder his K-rate has dwindled far below average. His curve and change-up were vastly improved in April, but have since receded to a couple ticks below 2018 levels, dropping from a 17% swing & miss rate to 11% and 17% to 10%, respectively. According to Statcast, Quintana ranks in the 28th percentile in exit velocity allowed and the 41st percentile in hard-hit balls allowed. A touch of hr/f luck has helped him limit the damage.

Jose Qunitana struck out 14 Phillies in six innings last game out (!) How is that even possible? The game prior, he went seven full against Oakland and surrendered just two hits. Combine the two games and Quintana’s stock is soaring, thus presenting this great sell high opportunity. Recency bias is in play here but that’s not the only reason the Cubs are overpriced today.

Prior to his most recent callup on August 12 to face the Angels, Mitch Keller (RHP - PIT) surrendered 14 earned runs in 12 innings. Giving up a grand slam in the first inning of his first major league start is not how Mitch Keller probably dreamed it. One of the top pitching prospects in the game, the 23-year-old right-hander has a better future ahead. A much better one. Keller has used his good control to pound the strike zone from a high angle. His fastball reaches 98 mph and he can command it to both sides of the plate. He repeats his mechanics and makes it hard for hitters when a changeup or 12-to-6 curve appears. The Pirates trusted that after his He might have put things together in his last stint at Triple-A where he allowed just 23 runs over 10 starts and then looked pretty good against the Halos in an easy 10-2 Pirates victory.

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