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Posted at 12:00 PM EST 

WASHINGTON/Minnesota parlay +189

7:05 PM EST, Washington is a very playable -130 home favorite and we’re going to trust them to bury Jordan Lyles (RHP - MIL). Lyles has been a hit-strand beneficiary in recording a 3.33 ERA over the last month but his xERA over that span is an alarming 6.11. Lyles also has a shaky career line against Washington, a club that has been excellent in their home yard (.824 OPS and trending better) and overall of late (.856 OPS since July 28). The Nationals are a particularly dangerous third-time-around-the-order group; and Lyles already has his own issues, sometimes making too many pitches to get through four or five frames.

For the Nationals, it’ll be Anibal Sanchez (RHP - WAS). Sanchez has been a feast-or-famine option but Milwaukee has struggled since the break and Sanchez is working on five days’ rest; that’s his best interval by a wide margin but this is more of a play on the Nationals to beat Lyles and the Brewers. 

As for the second part of this parlay, the Twinkies are damn tough while the Rangers are getting softer and more beatable by the day. Jose Berrios (RHP - MIN) has a BB/K split of 35/144 over 153 innings while Ariel Jurado (RHP - TEX) sounds like a mermaid and is pitching like one. Jurado has 72 K’s in 97 innings overall and a 7.09/6.44 ERA/xERA split over his past five starts.

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