St. Louis @ CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI +107 over St. Louis

Pinnacle +107 BET365 +100 SportsInteraction +100  5DIMES +101 888Sport +103

Posted at 12:00 PM EST 

6:40 PM EST. Wrong side favored. Anthony DeSclafani (RHP - CIN) is coming off a rocky outing at Washington, but so what, as the Nats have been bashing it for well over six weeks now. DeSclafani’s previous four starts were winnable games and that’s precisely what he’s been delivering practically the entire season. The Reds right-hander has registered a 2.57 ERA/3.62 xERA over four starts versus the Cardinals this season. Additionally, the Cards have had their share of struggles on the road, as they own a mere .678 OPS overall in the month of August. That figure is more than 110 points off the league’s August average of .799. The right-heavy (big benefit in DeSclafani’s splits) St. Louis order has been a bottom-10 group against RHPs all season.

Miles Mikolas (RHP - STL) owns a 3.08 ERA/4.10 xERA over his last six games started. In this turn – on the road where Mikolas has faltered this season – the Cardinals right-hander will be matched up against a Cincinnati club which has pummeled him in the past (.933 OPS). The Reds are batting a high-contact .284/.347/.509 in August. Miles Mikolas’ claim to fame is that he doesn’t walk guys. He’s issued just 23 BB all season in 137 innings. However, his road ERA is 6.34 (compared to 2.43 at home) because his home park keeps balls in the yard. His road/home split is not an anomaly, as he continues to give up hard hit fly balls on the road that leave the park at a pretty high rate. Also note that he’s been roughed up by lefties (.867 OPS). We repeat -- wrong side favored.

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Our Pick

CINCINNATI +107 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)

Washington +128 over Houston
Kansas City +122 over Baltimore
Milwaukee -1½ +144 over St. Louis
San Diego -103 over Toronto