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Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. When Eduardo Rodriguez (RHP - BOS)  pitches, the Red Sox usually win and it’s for that reason, combined with the fact that Rodriguez is very good, that Boston is favored over the Dodgers. The Red Sox have won eight of the past 10 games that Rodriguez has started but it’s also worth noting that Boston has scored, 9. 8, 6, 9 and 13 runs respectively in his last five starts. Furthermore, Rodriguez has been tagged for five, four and five runs respectively to the South Side, Rays and Rockies in three of his last four starts at Fenway. The Dodgers pose nothing but problems to all pitchers and Rodriguez’s high volume of balls (38% ball%) adds to his risk. 

Kenta Maeda (RHP - LAD) was demoted to the Dodgers bullpen by season's end last year, but his skills were better than ever and that has carried over to this year. His strikeout rate boost gets full backing from his now-elite 15% swing & miss rate. His control has snapped back to normal and his xERA is as stable as it gets.    Maeda has a legit 3.76 ERA after 17 starts and he pitches for the Dodgers. ‘Nuff said.

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