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Posted at 10:15 PM EST.

2:00 PM EST. This is the first game of a doubleheader and frankly, what we have here is another absurd line because the White Sox are turning to a first-time starter that comes in with some hype but it’s not legit. Even if it is legit, he’s still a first time starter and they blow up often. We’ll get back to him in a sec. Meanwhile, Detroit will send out Daniel Norris (LHP - DET). 

Norris remains completely under the radar and we know that because he’s unowned in most fantasy leagues. His 5.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in June reinforced why that's the case. That said, Norris put up some sneaky good skills in June with a BB/K split of 6/31 in 34 frames over six starts with a 49% groundball rate and a 4.11 xERA. Norris is missing bats but an unlucky 65% strand rate and .335 BABIP torpedoed his surface stats. He got strike one at a high clip (67%) and is worth a bet here because Detroit is very much in line to put up a crooked number. 

Enter Dylan Cease (RHP - CHW), a $1.5 million overslot signing in the sixth round of the 2014 draft who slid due to concerns about his elbow, which would require Tommy John surgery shortly after signing. The 6’2”, 190-pounder would get in a nondescript 24 innings in 2015 and 44.2 IP in 2017, before the kid gloves came off for his 2017 campaign and full season debut and his subsequent trade to the South Side in the Jose Quintana deal at midseason.

Everything starts with Cease’s fastball, which sits mid-90s and reaches triple digits with ease. The pitch features little horizontal movement but has natural sink and some fade when he works the bottom of the zone with it. It gets plus plus grades from most evaluators with some grading it a true strikeout pitch. The curve is his second plus pitch, with 12-6 movement and the ability to induce regular chase when he pulls the string. While some evaluators grade it a plus plus pitch, his tendency to miss knocks it down a grade. Cease’s average-at-best change has always lagged, and combined with frame and durability concerns, has caused a substantial amount of scouts to peg Cease as a future lockdown closer rather than starter. Cease ceased some of those concerns with a solid 2018 campaign in which he struck out 160 in 124 innings. He’s added a slider here in 2019 to become a four-pitch pitcher and has remained healthy, but that’s about all that’s gone right during his Triple-A debut. While the surface stats aren’t disastrous, the splits show they’re going in the wrong direction and fast. Cease’s June numbers read as someone who is lost or even potentially hiding injury: a .338/.438/.446 slash line, with a 14/12 K/BB over 74 at-bats. Right-handed batters are crushing him to the tune of .291/.392/.411 and his ’19 oppBA stands at .284. Cease has been far too hittable and these aren’t minor-leaguers that he’s facing.  Long term, this is a premium arm, but he may initially struggle until he irons out the kinks.

2019 STATS: Charlotte (AAA) — 15 gs, 5-2, 4.48 ERA, 68.1 IP, 4.1 BB’s/9, 9.6 K’s/9,  4 HR, .284 oppBA, 1.57 WHIP.

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