Pinnacle -1½ +155 BET365 -1½ +155 SportsInteraction -1½ +155 5DIMES -1½ +155

Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

8:05 PM EST. Yes indeed the Braves are hot in June and they’re dangerous but in terms of value, it truly does not get better than this. Lay -120 if you prefer because that, too, is the best value on today’s board, We, however, will lay the extra half run for 80 cents more on the takeback.

Yu Darvish (RHP - CHC) was limited to eight starts in 2018 due to arm/shoulder woes. We noted earlier in the season that he had a "wide range of possible outcomes" heading into 2019. He got off to a very rough start, and had a 5.40 ERA 11 starts into the season. Five starts later and his ERA is still below league average at 4.75 but pay no attention, as Darvish has filthy stuff. Darvish had been extremely wild in his first 11 starts with his 15.1% BB% and 6.2 BB’s/9 being tops among all starters. However, over his last seven starts he’s only walked 14 batters and has walked just three over his last three starts covering 19 innings. Yu Darvish has his control back and it’s reflected in his upper-tier 66% first-pitch strike rate over his last 37 innings. Darvish struck out 10 Dodgers two starts ago with a supported 14% swing and miss rate. His swing & miss rate this year is 13% and getting better. Rarely will you find a Cubs starter under the radar but in this case, that’s precisely what we have, as Yu Darvish is back to being the dominating starter he had always been prior to last season. Darvish’s cutter breaks 167% more than average and drops 21% more than average, both rating best among those with at least 200 thrown. At -120 at home against Dallas Keuchel (LHP - ATL), Yu Darvish and the Cubs are the biggest steal of the day.

Seriously, who the f**k is Dallas Keuchel to be getting this kind of respect in the betting line? In an era when garbage pitchers are making 6M a year, nobody even want3ed to look at Keuchel. At 31 years of age and with a fastball that tops off at 87 MPH, Keuchel is fade material because his pedigree has him grossly overpriced. Keuchel made one start at this level and struck out three Nationals in five innings with a swing & miss rate of 6%, an ERA/xERA split of 5.40/5.18 and a WHOP of 1.60. Keuchel is also 1000 steps behind the rest of the league. His solid control could make him a serviceable back-end starter but one completely devoid of upside. Dude is now priced at this venue like he’s Mike Soroka or Max Fried  when he’s more like Jason Vargas.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks