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Posted at 10:45 AM EST. 

7:07 PM EST. We played Andrew Heaney (LHP - LAA) last time out and he took a 4-0 lead into the sixth in Tampa Bay before the Rays scored nine unanswered runs. Heaney gave up two hits but on paper, the Angels lost 9-4 and also on paper, Heaney has a 4.57 ERA. Andrew Heaney  has been outstanding in his first four games started since coming back from elbow inflammation that caused him to miss the start of the season. Heaney has posted 12.5 K’s/9 or 30 K’s in 22 innings with just six walks issued. Heaney also has the underlying support of an off the charts 18% swing & miss rate with a 3.44 xERA. Although he doesn’t qualify because he hasn’t pitched 40 innings or more, Heaney also has the lowest line-drive (12%) rate in the majors among all starters. Finally, since said return, Heaney has logged a 3.82 xERA against four first-division offenses. The Blue Jays (.675 OPS, 27th MLB) will be a nice change of pace for start No. 5.

Aaron Sanchez (RHP - TOR) has started 15 games for the Blue Jays but it has only added up to 75 innings because he throws more pitches per AB than any starter in the game. That gives MLB hitters plenty of looks and the more pitches one throws, the less chance of getting an out. Aaron Sanchez has battled finger injuries over the past two seasons. Blister issues in 2017 limited Sanchez to just 36 innings and a finger contusion he suffered when his hand got caught in his luggage (true story) limited him to just 105 innings in 2018. When Sanchez was able to take the hill in 2018, he struggled with his control and that has carried over to this season, as he has issued 43 walks for the worst BB’s/9 among all qualified starters. Do you really want to walk a bunch of guys for a team that doesn’t strike out?  Sanchez’ swing & miss rate last game was 6%. He has a BB/K split of 14/15 over his last 24 frames covering five starts. Now throw in an xERA of 6.44 over that span and an overall xERA of 5.85 and it’s highly unlikely that Sanchez defies what the numbers say here.

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