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San Diego @ COLORADO
COLORADO -1 +146 over San Diego

Pinnacle -1½ +146 BET365 -1½ +140 SportsInteraction -1½+140 5DIMES -1½ +140 888Sport -1½ +140

Posted at 12:30 PM EST. 

8:40 PM EST. The “Coors Field” angle will remain in play here but in this case, we’re taking the chalk on the run line because it’s warranted. So, without further ado, here is the scoop on both starters:

Cal Quantrill (RHP - SD) has pitched better than his 4.85 ERA would indicate—he has a 3.93 xERA with 9K’s/9 that his 14% swing & miss rate suggests could be even higher. On the flip side, his 2.4 BB’s/9 has not been supported by his 54% first-pitch strike rate and the Rockies own a 10% walk rate at Coors Field along with the usual strong hitting splits (.885 OPS, 123 PX, .275 xBA). Quantrill has been getting lit up by LHB (1.051 oOPS over 71 PA) and the Rocks could stack their lineup with as many as six lefties. Quantrill has gotten help from pitching half his games at his own pitchers park but that luxury is far removed from pitching here.

Jeff Hoffman (RHP - COL) used to be one of the better pitching prospects in the game before his command totally abandoned him. After a strong spring that saw him post a 17 K’s in 19 innings with just four walks issued, Hoffman put up a 23/3 K/BB in his final 17 frames at Triple-A after tweaking his approach. In 26 innings covering five starts since his call-up, Hoffman has struck out 29 batters while walking just seven. Dude is back on our radar but he’s under the market radar. The former 9th overall pick of the 2014 draft, there's some post-hype intrigue here that could pay dividends sooner than you might realize. We’ll put that to the test here.

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Our Pick

COLORADO -1 +146 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.92)

 

 

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