Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:15 PM EST.
8:40 PM EST. The “Coors Field” angle remains in play here, that being to play the underdog at this park on the reverse or alternate run-line. Colorado is the underdog today and we’re on it.
Jose Quintana (LHP - CHC) threw a beauty his last time out, a 7.1 inning, six-hit, three earned runs allowed game versus the Rockies. That marked his first worthwhile start in eight starts and the wind was blowing in that day. He takes on the Rockies again today, however this time at Coors Field, where the Rockies average 6.3 runs per game and have a MLB-best .891 OPS. Jose Quintana is not throwing anything near a gem today with the more likely scenario being him getting knocked around and knocked out early.
Needing another starter, the Rockies called up 22-year-old Peter Lambert (RHP, COL) to make his major league debut last week. The 6'2", 185-pound right-hander was drafted in 2015 out of San Dimas High School in California, leading us to wonder if his skills will be most excellent, or his Coors Field results will be bogus. His first start gives us hope: 7 IP, 9 Ks, 1 BB, 4 H. Of course that was in Wrigley with the wind blowing in too though still against a good-hitting Cubs team.
What do his skills tell us about his potential ability to withstand Coors? He has four pitches in his arsenal. His fastball can reach 96 mph, but sits in the mid-90s with good late sink and run. His changeup is his best secondary pitch, and his one true plus offering. It, too, has late fade, so he gets ground-balls aplenty. His curve is in the mid-70s and is a decent pitch, and his slider is still a work in progress, but usable as a fourth pitch. He gets strikeouts but also likes to get weak contact on the ground. Although one can make excuses for pitching in the hitter's paradise that is Albuquerque, the fact is he put up a 0.8 hr/9 last year in 55.1 IP there. Overall he has the pitches, the command and the pitching smarts to be a good starter in the majors in time. Pitching at Coors will always complicate things but as his first start showed, this is a competent pitcher who has little left to work on in the minors. Dude is ready and if he gets blown up here, so be it.
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COLORADO -1½ +205 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.10)