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Seattle @ L.A. Angles
L.A. ANGELS -1 +113 over Seattle

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +113 BET 365 -1½ +110 SportsInteraction -1½ +110 5DIMES -1½ +110

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. 

10:07 PM EST. For all you fantasy players, grab Andrew Heaney (LHP - LAA) immediately if he’s still available in your league. Heaney has started just two games this year so he’s under the radar with his 4.09 ERA looking somewhat average. Dude is anything but average. In 11 innings, Heaney has struck out 18 batters with a supported and off the charts 20% swing & miss rate. He also walked one batter to make his ratio of strikes to walks 18 & 1. His first-pitch strike rate is also elite. This is not his first sign of brilliance either. Heaney flashed some serious upside last year after years of various arm issues. His top-tier command came with good sub-support and his skills surged even more in the second half. He ended up striking out 180 batters last year in 180 innings. Dude is fresh and has a 2.79 xERA coming into this start against a beaten up and beaten down Mariners’ squad.

Since June 3rd, a span of four games in four days, the Mariners bullpen has been forced to work 25.2 innings. The league average is 12.2 innings over four days. That’s not a typo either. Over that stretch, Mariners relievers are averaging 4.2 K’s/9 with a 4.56/5.72 ERA/xERA split. Those brutal numbers are almost hard to believe but they’re true. The M’s have lost eight of their last 10 and lost six of those games by scores of 13-3, 11-5, 8-7, 9-3, 8-7 and finally 11-4. When the bullpen phone rings, guys are running for cover. That bullpen phone will be ringing tonight and it’ll likely be early too.

Marco Gonzalez (LHP - SEA) is batting practice out there. Dude has 54 K’s in 77 innings and will now face the best team in the majors at putting the ball in play. By a wide margin, the Angels have struck out the least amount of times among all 30 teams. Marco Gonzalez comes in with a 5.13 xERA and a 5.93 xERA over his last five starts. He’s a starting pitcher that will rely on the BABIP gods and if balls are being hit right at people, oh well. He’ll also rely on the hr/f gods with a 47% fly-ball rate over his last five starts and a 41% overall fly-ball rate. Dude throws 88 MPH on his best day and has a 6% swing & miss rate over his last five starts with an overall swing and miss rate of 8%.

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Our Pick

L.A. ANGELS -1 +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)

 

 

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