Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:45 AM EST.
4:10 PM EST. 21-year-old Jose Suarez (LHP - LAA) makes his MLB debut here and it’s for that reason we get the Angels without having to spot anything. Suarez is built like a fireplug at 5-10, 225 lbs, a stature that isn't ideal for a starting pitcher. However, he's had good results thus far in his career: a 3.70 ERA spanning 326 http://www.espn.com/video/clip?id=26944208 minor-league innings to go along with 9.7 K’s/9. While Suarez displayed excellent control in the lower levels of the minors, the walks have crept up a bit during his time at Triple-A. His history shows that his control should be better. His fastball sits in the low 90s with good life and can touch 95 mph. His primary offspeed pitch is a plus change, and his curve has improved every season. His pitchability also sets a high floor, something that makes him a pretty safe bet to enjoy some success at the big league level. It’s always a risk to get behind a starter making his MLB debut but in this case, the wager is all about fading Seattle’s starter.
Marco Gonzalez (LHP - SEA) is batting practice out there. Dude has 52 K’s in 73 innings and will now face the best team in the majors at putting the ball in play. By a wide margin, the Angels have struck out the least amount of times among all 30 teams. Marco Gonzalez comes in with a 5.13 xERA and a 5.67 xERA over his last five starts. He’s a starting pitcher that will rely on the BABIP gods and if balls are being hit right at people, oh well. He’ll also rely on the hr/f gods with a 47% fly-ball rate over his last five starts and a 41% overall fly-ball rate. Gonzalez is pure fade material when he’s the chalk.
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L.A. Angels +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)