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San Francisco @ BALTIMORE
San Francisco -1 +144 over BALTIMORE

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +144 BET 365 -1½ +140 SportsInteraction -1½ +140 5DIMES -1½ +141

Posted at 11:45 AM EST. 

7:05 PM EST. First off, the Giants are not as bad as their record indicates while the Orioles are. Secondly, the young and anxious Orioles are more likely to be dazzled by a crafty and experienced veteran starter than the veteran bats of the Giants are. What we have here is two veteran starters going and we get the superior Giants at a big discount here.

Drew Pomeranz (LHP - SF) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Sunday, May 19 and has made two starts since, both against Arizona. Pomeranz and the Giants lost 18-2 five days ago to the D-Backs and that’s the type of score that resonates in the market. However, Pomeranz was unlucky. He struck out six batters in three innings before being knocked out. He now has 41 K’s in 38 innings and his 14% swing & miss rate since returning from the DL supports the K’s. Drew Pomeranz has a 6.45 ERA but he’s been the victim of a .352 BABIP and 50% strand rate over his last four games. His xERA last start was 3.45 and overall it is almost two runs lower than his actual ERA. Dude knows how to pitch and figures to be able to outsmart some of the Orioles over-anxious bats.

By contrast, Andrew Cashner isn’t likely going to fool too many of the Giants veteran hitters. He hasn't produced any positive value in two seasons, and his once-promising stuff now struggles to miss bats. That profile hasn't changed so far in 2019. His skills are bad and there are scary signs abound: flagging velocity, subpar command for three years running, no looming recovery seen in his first-pitch strike rate or swinging strikes. Heed all of it is all we have to say.

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Our Pick

San Francisco -1 +144 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.88)

 

 

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