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Toronto @ SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO -1 +158 over Toronto

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +158 BET 365 -1½ +155 SportsInteraction -1½ +155 5DIMES  -1½ +155

Posted at 11:15 AM EST. 

3:45 PM EST. Yeah, we’ll take a shot on the Giants here because it’s an afternoon game and runs at this park come much easier in day games than they do at night. Furthermore, the Jays went off for seven runs last night, which is about their weekly quota so chances are good the offense will be anemic again against a starter that they have never seen before.

Shaun Anderson (RHP - SF) was part of the return for Eduardo Nunez (2B - BOS) alongside Gregory Santos (RHP - SF). The big righty reaches the majors and offers interesting upside. Despite a 6’4”, 225-pound frame, Anderson is more a pitchability than hard-cheese guy, with a bevy of average-to-above-average pitches enhanced by above-average command. The slider is his best offering in here and it is his out-pitch, but this is the kind of profile that tends to have trouble a third time through a lineup. In his favor are that he does well keeping the ball on the ground, culminating in a 52.6% rate over a small sample size this year. He’s also bumped his strikeout rate to 9.5 K’s/9 for Triple-A Sacramento. His 4.11 ERA in the PCL looks almost sterling considering the new ball in the league, so if the 24-year-old Anderson has bumped a secondary, there’s some mid-rotation upside here. San Francisco seems poised to keep Anderson in the rotation and he could surprise.

Edwin Jackson (RHP - TOR) will not surprise. Jackson was acquired by the Jays on Saturday, May 11 from Oakland  in exchange for cash considerations. Jackson was pitching in Triple-A for Oakland, and will take the rotation spot vacated by Clay Buchholz's move to the IL. The Blue Jays clearly needed some rotation help and this now becomes a desperation move. Jackson sets a record by joining his 14th major league team, and proved in 2018 that he can still chew up innings (92 IP over 17 starts) at age 34, but the fountain of youth may begin to sputter this time around. His 3.33 ERA in 2018 defied a 5.15 xERA thanks to a 25% hit rate. His 24% line-drive/40% fly-ball profile is bound bring that ERA back in line and is why 29 teams wanted nothing to do with him. There's nothing new in Jackson’s weak skills although it did get him a contract. Man, Jackson has to be faded, no? The price here spotting 1½ runs says yes.

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Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO -1 +158 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.16)

 

 

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