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Posted at 3:30 PM EST.  

10:10 PM EST. Jacob deGrom (RHP - NYM) rebounded against the Reds in his last outing, allowing zero earned runs with two BB’s and 6 K's in 7 IP. In that start he compiled an 85% first-pitch strike rate and 19% swing and miss rate with velocity that’s consistent with past seasons (96 mph). He’s allowing more fly-balls (39%) and liners (26%) than ever before, but he’s been a bit unlucky with hit/strand % and his hr/9 (1.4) is back to where it was in 2017. Jacob deGrom is good. Absolutely good.

News alert, Chris Paddack (RHP- SD) might even be better. Paddack has been very impressive for a rookie pitcher, let alone one with only 39 innings of experience in Double-A prior to his call-up AND one who missed all of 2017 with Tommy John surgery. His strong strikeout rate and command have underlying support that screams he's doing most of this with skill. As of May 4, among pitchers with at least 25 innings in 2019, Paddack’s first-pitch strike rate was the best in all of baseball and a rate that high should conceivably support an even lower walk rate. If you remove his one shaky outing against the Cardinals on April 6, when he issued four walks in 3.2 IP, his xERA would be a top-3 mark in the game. The 23-year-old Paddack was a bit of a surprise call-up to start the 2019 season, but that decision is looking quite wise so far. His early success is no guarantee he'll be this dominant all year, but his skill base looks very solid and he's flashing the kind of upside that could make him a frontline starter for years to come.

Finally, the Mets just played three in hitter-friendly Milwaukee and not only got swept but they scored just six lousy runs. Furthermore, the Mets played an 18 inning game on Saturday night so the fatigue factor of that usually sets in two days later (that being today) and not the next day. Yeah, the Mets are likeable with deGrom but man are they overpriced here in a game in which their win expectation is lower than the underdog. Wrong side favored.

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