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Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Blake Snell (LHP) makes his second start since returning from the DL to square off against a Toronto lineup that offers slightly below-average production vs. LHP. In his return start off the DL on August 4 against the White Sox, Snell went four innings while striking out three and allowing one earned run. He’ll likely be extended today but even if he’s not, the Rays have experience managing the pitching staff around short starts. Snell’s 14% swing and miss rate supports his 137 K’s in 123 innings. Beneath his elite 2.27 ERA and 1.07 WHIP is an entire collection of strong and reliable skills. Perhaps most noteworthy was that Snell’s average velocity before his shoulder injury was 95.6 MPH and in his first start back, that velo was precisely the same at 95.6 MPH. That’s a great sign that his shoulder is healed.

Then there’s Marco Estrada (RHP), the poster boy for inducing infield flies and out-pitching his peripherals for three years -- then suddenly... didn't. We were screaming at you for years that this was all a fluke and as it turns out, it was. There is enough information out there to inform us whether or not a pitcher is legit and Estrada never was. Skills-wise, nothing has changed for Estrada, as major shifts in hit percentage, strand percentage and hr/f have exposed him for what he is. Gravity is no longer his friend. Marco Estrada has 74 K’s in 104 frames. His fastball tops off at 88 MPH. His xERA is worse than ever at 6.64, which is the second highest in the majors among qualified starters. Since returning from the DL, Estrada has struck out four batters in 11 innings and walked five. Overall his groundball rate has never been worse and now sits at 25%. This is one of MLB’s worst starters without even one redeeming skill and if he beats us, so be it but pitching mismatches do not come much greater than this one.

PLEASE NOTE: One of the unique things about our website is that we provide write-ups every single day on every game we post. We’re not sure if everyone understands how time consuming that is and how difficult it is as well but if you do not, please try it one day and you’ll see.

That said, we’re not going to change that. We’ll have write-ups every single day like we always do but we’re also going to have another feature. You see, we post our games usually in the early afternoon or before 1:00 PM EST but there is a lot of movement and other intangibles that occur throughout the day that has influence on what we’re betting. Usually after 6:00 PM EST or thereabouts, we’re going to be adding other games that we’re betting on in a section called “add-ons” for today that we ARE NOT going to write up because it’s too time consuming and with an hour or less before the first game goes off, we just won’t have the time.

This is a feature that you will see on our home page with the other wagers and we’ll also tweet it out when our add-ons have been posted.

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