Milwaukee @ LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES -1½ +146 over Milwaukee

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +146 BET365 -1½ +135 SportsInteraction -1½ +140 5DIMES  -1½ +141

Posted at 11:00 AM EST.

7:10 PM EST. Freddy Peralta (RHP) exists as a bit of an enigma. The 21-year-old held a 12.9/K’s per 9 rate last year in the minors and owns a plus fastball, but his velocity is just average (90 MPH) and it comes out of a 5’11”, 175-pound frame. He owes much of his K-rate to his ability to manipulate his fastball any way he wants to alongside a highly deceptive delivery. Peralta starts all the way on the third base side of the mound with a low-three-quarters, crossfire delivery, generating extreme extension. He’s especially difficult on right-handed hitters, especially as he’s able to effectively locate his above-average slider away from them. Peralta’s command comes and goes, and he’s featured control rates that have been just as erratic as his results. Peralta had 50 K’s in 37 innings at this level before being sent back down to the minors, not once but twice this year already. He allowed seven earned runs, including three home runs, in six innings in his return to the rotation last week after being summoned from AAA-Wisconsin. He strikes out guys, yes, but he also gets hit hard and if the Dodgers aren’t fooled by his deceptive delivery, they figure to send him to the showers early. This is an erratic rookie, that has been sent down twice this year in a difficult spot.

Meanwhile, Kenta Maeda might be the most undervalued “ace” in baseball. Despite a dud (on the surface) 2017 season that decreased his market value, Maeda has responded with nearly 100 innings of a career-best 3.27 ERA and he keeps getting better. Maeda’s seen a major uptick in K’s, which gets full support from his elite swinging-strike rate of 18%. His slider (28% swing and miss rate) and change-up (30%) have been deadly, and he’s using them more often. Maeda’s also throwing first-pitch strikes with ease. With three straight years of solid xERA’s, Maeda has a track record of sustained excellence. His step forward comes with complete support from our underlying skills. In fact, only three other starters can lay claim to Maeda’s pristine first-pitch strike rate/swinging strikes combo (deGrom, Scherzer, Sale -min. 90 IP). With a revamped pitch mix, a history of elite skills and 115 K’s in 94 innings, Maeda should be priced like Sale and Scherzer in his home barn but instead, he’s priced like Edwin Jackson. That’s f**king ridiculous.

PLEASE NOTE: One of the unique things about our website is that we provide write-ups every single day on every game we post. We’re not sure if everyone understands how time consuming that is and how difficult it is as well but if you do not, please try it one day and you’ll see.

That said, we’re not going to change that. We’ll have write-ups every single day like we always do but we’re also going to have another feature. You see, we post our games usually in the early afternoon or before 1:00 PM EST but there is a lot of movement and other intangibles that occur throughout the day that has influence on what we’re betting. Usually after 6:00 PM EST or thereabouts, we’re going to be adding other games that we’re betting on in a section called “add-ons” for today that we ARE NOT going to write up because it’s too time consuming and with an hour or less before the first game goes off, we just won’t have the time.

This is a feature that you will see on our home page with the other wagers and we’ll also tweet it out when our add-ons have been posted.

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

LOS ANGELES -1½ +146 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.92)

Boston +121 over Cleveland
Chicago +113 over Houston
Seattle -1½ +137 over Texas