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Posted at 11:45 AM EST.

3:10 PM EST. Baseball is a funny game. Here are the A’s -- a team that was killing it offensively for most of the year and came into this series having scored 41 runs over their previous four games. Then the A’s arrived in Colorado, the best hitting park in the majors and suddenly look like the Padres, having scored one run in both games here. The A’s might have to score 10 today to beat us because we’re convinced that A’s starter, Frankie Montas (RHP) has no shot at success here.

Montas has been riding the shuttle between Colorado and Nashville of the PCL all season. In 53 innings covering nine starts at this level, Montas has struck out a lousy 33 batters. What that means is that the Rockies are going to put the ball in play and at this park that spells disaster. On paper, Montas has a 3.54 ERA but underneath that misleading mark is a 5.57 xERA after pitching most of his games at hitter-friendly venues. Montas throws hard (average 97 MPH fastball ) but he’s exhibit number 100,000 that velocity doesn't guarantee success. His 97 mph fastball just doesn't faze the opposition and LHBs destroy him. Montas pitched to a 7.03 ERA last season over a small 34 inning sample size but at the end of the day, he’s the exact same pitcher now with nothing added to his arsenal. He simply tries to go out there and blow guys away and it’s not working.

Meanwhile, German Marquez (RHP) has been an impact pitcher on the road this season but less so at home, but we cannot worry about that, as he has the skills and underlying numbers to warrant getting behind him here. xERA does not take park factors into consideration so Marquez’s xERA of 3.93 is probably equivalent to a mark of closer to 2.93 because one can take a full run off one’s ERA for pitching at Coors. Marquez has 124 K’s in 120 frames, he has a 61% groundball rate over his last five starts and he has a 13% swing and miss rate to support the K’s. For whatever reason, the A’s are not seeing the ball well at this park or they came in here expecting to score a bevy of runs and will be pressing today to make up for it. Regardless, Marquez has the tools to thrive and the Rockies have the bats to destroy a straight fastball thrower.

PLEASE NOTE: One of the unique things about our website is that we provide write-ups every single day on every game we post. We’re not sure if everyone understands how time consuming that is and how difficult it is as well but if you do not, please try it one day and you’ll see.

That said, we’re not going to change that. We’ll have write-ups every single day like we always do but we’re also going to have another feature. You see, we post our games usually in the early afternoon or before 1:00 PM EST but there is a lot of movement and other intangibles that occur throughout the day that has influence on what we’re betting. Usually after 6:00 PM EST or thereabouts, we’re going to be adding other games that we’re betting on in a section called “add-ons” for today that we ARE NOT going to write up because it’s too time consuming and with an hour or less before the first game goes off, we just won’t have the time.

This is a feature that you will see on our home page with the other wagers and we’ll also tweet it out when our add-ons have been posted.

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