BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -101 BET365 -110 SportsInteraction -110 5DIMES -104

Posted at 9:45 AM EST.

2:20 PM EST. The Diamondbacks are one of the hottest road teams in baseball after going 16-5 over their last 21 games away from the desert. The Snakes started the season on a roll before stumbling in May but are back on track and just a half game behind the Dodgers for first place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks' surge can be tied directly to star first baseman Paul Goldschmidt, who was slow out of the gate but Goldy has now reached base in 24 straight road contests. He also loves pounding on the Cubs, as he is 9-for-21 against them over his last six meetings with six home runs and nine RBIs.

Last season was a huge leap forward for Robbie Ray (LHP). However, the 26-year-old's stock is low after an injury-plagued start to 2018 but do not be fooled by the talking heads that consider him to be a bust this season. Ray's surface ERA is a bloated 5.37, but his xERA is a solid 3.83. His strikeouts are up a tick as well over last season (12.58 K’s/9), which is saying a lot because he was mowing guys down left and right in 2017. Since his return from the DL, Ray has flamed 24 batters in 20 frames. As long as he's knocking guys out at such a high clip, Ray will be an appealing play when the price is right like it is today.

Chicago will send Jon Lester (LHP) to the bump tonight after he was blasted for eight runs over just three innings in his last start. Lester has nothing but market appeal because he’s been so successful for so many years and you can add to his market appeal here, as said market often plays a contender to not get swept at home. In fact, one could even argue that the price on the Cubs here is cheap with Lester coming in at 12-3 with a 3.14 ERA but that seemingly cheap price is fool’s gold. While numbers like that would usually get you in the Cy Young conversation, there are some big red flags underneath the hood. Lester's xERA is 4.75, which is his worst posted number since 2007. In addition, his strikeouts are down and his walk rate is up. What success he has had in limiting runs can be chalked up to an unsustainable strand rate of 80.8% and a .258 average on batted balls in play (BABIP). Finally, Lester is giving up more fly balls than he has in over a decade, which makes him a recipe for disaster at any time. Lester is one of the most overvalued pitchers in the game and is a must sell. We faded him last time out and will not stop until there is a market correction.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.