Baltimore @ WASHINGTON
Baltimore +250 over WASHINGTON

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +249 BET365 +250 SportsInteraction +250 5DIMES +249

Posted at 11:30 AM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Max Scherzer (RHP) may strike out between 15 and 20 Orioles and Baltimore might not score but we cannot worry about that, as we are being offered too big a price on a great pitcher for the Orioles and we’re not going to miss this opportunity to fade a Nationals’ squad that looks terrible.

Something isn’t right in that Washington clubhouse. We have no proof of anything except results and what we’re seeing is a team losing almost every day while being completely shut down by some terrible starters. Last night the Nats made Andrew Cashner look like Bob Gibson. Last week in Toronto, they were shut out by Marco Estrada. In fact, Washington has been shutout in four of its last nine games and the other two starters besides Estrada and Cashner to shut them out was C.C. Sabathia and Derek Holland. If Cashner, Sabathia, Holland and Estrada were starting for the same team, it would be the worst rotation in the league and one of the worst rotations ever. Whether it’s Dave Martinez that this team has quit on, or the fact that Daniel Murphy is getting undeserved playing time or that nobody in the clubhouse is pulling for Bryce Harper or a combination of all the above plus some other issues we have no idea about, there is no denying that the Nationals are a complete mess and they’ll now face a true ace.

Kevin Gausman's (RHP) past five games are a microcosm of his season, showing inconsistency from start to start. That makes him a risk/reward proposition as he faces the Nationals in Washington. Gausman has a 4.46 ERA on the road. However, he's has an elite 11.1 K’s/9, 2.0 BB’s/9, a 53% groundball rate and a GREAT 2.95 xERA (the same as Luis Severino)  over the past month but a 68% strand rate and 45% hit rate have torpedoed his ERA and WHIP. Kevin Gausman is dealing it these days and has been one of MLB’s upper tier starters without the surface stats to back it up. Make no mistake that Gausman has the goods to dominate and must be played at this absurd price.

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Our Pick

Baltimore +250 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.00)