St. Louis @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE -1½ +167 over St. Louis

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +166 BET365 -1½ +167 SportsInteraction -1½ +165 5DIMES -1½ +165

Posted at 11:30 AM EST.

8:10 PM EST. Brent Suter (LHP) doesn't have overpowering stuff (mid-80s fastball) and his ERA isn’t going to wow anyone (4.30 ERA). That said, his skills are better than you might realize with 8.4 K’s/9, 1.7 BB’s/9, 40% grounders and they were backed by a pretty strong collection of command sub-indicators: 10.9% swing & miss rate, 66% first-pitch strike rate, 34% ball%. A 15% hr/f has his ERA slightly inflated but he is savvy enough to avoid a high volume of hard contact (84.3 mph exit velo #3 in MLB) and he pitches for a team that is pretty tough to beat at Miller Park. Additionally, Suter will face a Cardinals’ nine that scares nobody.

Then there’s Carlos Martinez (RHP) and his market credibility because he’s been very good for a decent amount of time before a few hiccups this year. The market can be very patient will starters that returned profits in the past but don’t be waiting for this one to bounce back. Martinez faced the Brewers twice in April and allowed only one earned run in 14.3 innings, which is more fool’s gold. Those two starts against the Crew came in cold weather and it was also before Martinez’s DL stint. Since his return from the DL, Martinez has struggled with his control, issuing 18 walks in 12.2 innings, he's had a 7.11 ERA and 2.61 WHIP in three starts, and his velocity is down. There were signs of this last year too with a second half strikeout rate plunge, a HR spike, and some luck-driven hit % reversal. Carlos Martinez not only aborted that next step up, he could very well be a pitcher in trouble.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at  and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks



Our Pick

MILWAUKEE -1½ +167 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.34)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110