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Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Jhoulys Chacin (RHP) has started 15 games this year and has lost one game. He also comes in with a 3.32 ERA and an elite 2.45 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and 8.3 K’s/9 over eight games started since the calendar turned to May. Now that his stock is high, we’re selling because what Chacin is doing is unsustainable and what he is not is a top-tier starter. This career journeyman has appeared to take a sizable step forward in 2018, but xERA and skills are actually a carbon-copy of his mediocre career. The only real change is that he’s been much more consistent in 2018 in terms of disaster starts/dominant starts. While disaster avoidance is nice, this is a run-of-the-mill skill set that comes with some implicit peril. Chacin’s xERA of 4.97 is that of a number four or five starter for a bad team. His 33/64 K/BB split in 81 frames is also weak. Chacin is one of the top candidates for regression in MLB.

The Miami Marlins gave the Pirates right-hander Trevor Williams (RHP) in November 2015 in a trade for a player with no value whatsoever as compensation for hiring away the Bucs’ minor-league pitching coordinator and special assistant to general manager Neal Huntington. Pitching coach Ray Searage gets the hype, but Benedict was vital to the Pirates’ successful pitching evolution in the first half of this decade. Williams’ skill set fits into the Searage mold just fine, but more importantly, he’s so well-rounded and has such great makeup that he doesn’t much need Searage. That balance of top-line skills shines through when looking at Williams in the context of fastball velocity, fastball frequency, and the tendency to use power-oriented secondary offerings, command, based on the ability of pitchers to wear out areas of the zone that tend to be the toughest on batters and stamina, based on how much rest the pitcher required and how deep they’re going into games. Williams, who can locate his stuff to both sides of the plate, touches 96 miles per hour with his fastball and has four solid pitches, rates very well across the board so pay little attention to his recent surface stats. He makes Searage’s sinker-centric attack work the same way guys like Francisco Liriano and Charlie Morton did so -- by hitting his spots and sequencing well. He also, put simply, has better stuff than anyone with so bland a name and so little prospect pedigree would be expected to have. This kid is learning on the go but he has some gems forthcoming in that arm of his and this is the perfect spot to showcase that.

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