San Diego @ ATLANTA
San Diego +130 over ATLANTA

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +130 BET365 +125 SportsInteraction +130 5DIMES +129

Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

7:35 PM EST. Anibal Sanchez (RHP) is 2-0 after five starts with a 2.37 ERA so his price is inflated here. It’s a small sample size for a starter that is 35-years-old and went 3-7 with a 6.41 ERA in 105 innings for Detroit last year. After leading MLB in HR/9 in 2013 and ‘14 (0.4), he has an MLB-worst 1.8 since then because his command got worse and his fly-ball rate went up. Sanchez is still throwing just 90 MPH on his fastball with a 7% swing and miss rate. His xERA is 4.12 and it’s only a matter of time before he starts losing out to strand % and hit %, as his stuff wanes.

The Padres are now just four games under .500 and gaining steam after starting the year 4-15. Perceived as one of the worst teams in baseball, that ill-perception should continue to provide us with opportunities on this very talented squad. Following a dominant three-year stretch from 2013 to 2015, Tyson Ross (RHP) pitched a total of 54.1 innings the past two years. Considering he recorded a 8.12 ERA during that span, there didn't seem to be much reason for optimism heading into 2018 but here we are through 13 starts and he's sporting a 3.43 ERA with 9.9 K’s/9. Is it legit? Damn straight it is. Ross has a BB/K split of 25/78 through 76 innings with a supported 12% swing and miss rate. In fact, Ross has been at his best on the road with a 3.24 ERA and has positive sub-scores for K's and ERA in this outing.

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Our Pick

San Diego +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

No Run in First Inning -105