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Posted at 10:45 AM EST.

3:10 PM EST. We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing all of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long:

Here are the pitching notes on today's two starters:

German Marquez (RHP) has taken a small step backwards this year, producing a 4.62 ERA and an ugly 1.50 WHIP during his initial 10 starts. Overall, a regression in control skills (3.9 BB/9 rate) and extreme struggles at his hitter-friendly home park (10.34 ERA) have been the main culprits behind his slow start.

Matt Harvey’s (RHP) story has been well-documented. As soon as he came over to Cincinnati, he replaced a struggling Brandon Finnegan in the Reds’ starting rotation. Harvey has proven unable to limit home runs in 2017 and 2018 after his return from 2016 thoracic outlet syndrome surgery. His first-pitch strike rate, swinging strikes, velocity, dominance and command have declined dramatically from his pre-2016 peak and the Mets truly believed it was never coming back. Harvey comes in with a 5.48/4.57 ERA/xERA split with 32 K’s and 11 walks issued over 41 frames this year.

Year to date: 9-10 +21.30 Units

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