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Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

4:05 PM EST. We’ll play the Royals on the ALT run line because if they win, chances are it’ll be by more than a run in this hitter’s haven. Just like all you, Ian Kennedy makes us very nervous to get behind but there are some days or play where you just have to plug your nose and hope for the best. That said, Kennedy is still throwing hard and striking out guys with 50 K’s in 53 frames against just 17 walks issued and his xERA of 4.61 is lower than his 5.30 ERA surface ERA too. That’s the skinny on Ian Kennedy but this wager is of course all about fading Bartolo Colon.

We have to ask if age finally caught up to him last year when he posted a 6.48 ERA and after several teams wanted no part of him anymore. It's a fair question that we routinely ask of guys a decade younger. Colon’s approach has long been a case of threading a needle. That being his pinpoint control and tiny strikeout rate always being at the mercy of batting average of balls in play (BABIP). Last year, Colon’s BABIP didn’t cooperate. This year they are overcompensating. Bartolo Colon is the exact same pitcher this year as he was last year only this year his luck is holding up lots more. He has a mere 36 K’s in 56 frames with a 6% swing and miss rate on an 87 MPH fastball that he throws 85% of the time. His location is great but c’mon, major league hitters getting fastballs that they know are coming at 87 MPH should destroy this stiff the same way they did last year. Period.

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