Arizona @ N.Y. METS
N.Y. METS -1½ +128 over Arizona

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Posted at 12:00 PM EST

1:10 PM EST. The Diamondbacks are banged up both mentally and physically, having lost three straight and nine of their last 10. Arizona has scored a mere 21 runs in their last 10 games combined and things surely don’t get easier here against Noah Syndergaard (RHP).  

After missing most of the 2017 season with a torn lateral muscle, Syndergaard was a wild card heading into 2018, carrying a ton of upside, but also a lot of risk. He eased concerns with his spring performance, and has been dominant through his first nine starts, striking out 61 batters in 52.1 innings and hasn’t missed a beat. Syndergaard hasn't missed a beat: Always stingy with the walks, he's really kept them to a minimum this season, an encouraging sign coming off injury. He keeps the ball on the ground pretty well (50%) and plays in a park that slightly suppresses home runs. After serving up two home runs on Opening Day, he's allowed only two since and figures to keep his home run rate pretty low. Syndergaard is showing no signs of rust, and has eased concerns that his skills wouldn't be quite as elite coming off a major injury. He is dominating opposing batters once again, and should continue to be among the highest skilled pitchers in the game as long as he's on the mound. Bottom line, not much has changed regarding Syndergaard, as he is sure to be in the Cy Young conversation by season's end. He’s the straight goods opposing a broken down pitcher. 

When last healthy and on a major league mound (2016), Clay Buchholz (RHP) had unrosterable skills while delivering a 5.11 xERA. Since then, Buchholz has been dropped by both the Phillies and Royals and has pitched for three different minor league teams, one in Double A and two at Triple-A this season in the Pacific Coast League. Most recently, this season, Buchholz pitched at Reno (for Arizona) and started two games before getting this call. He threw a combined 11.2 innings with 10 K’s, 5 walk and an ERA of 5.49. Over five minor league starts this season, two at Omaha, one at Northwest Arkansas (AA) and two at Reno, Buchholz threw 27.1 innings combined with a weak BB/K split of 12/19. Clay Buchholz has been trying to come back from the dead for two years now. While we admire his determination, he’s has several broken parts on his body over that time and he’s a fly-ball pitcher with a big time lack of control. Bottom line, he’s not coming back from the dead. The Snakes are throwing a dart here.

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Our Pick

N.Y. METS -1½ +128 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.56)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110