Detroit @ SEATTLE
Detroit +140 over SEATTLE

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle  +140 BET365  +130 SportsInteraction  +135 5DIMES  +140

Posted at 12:30 PM EST

9:10 PM EST. The birth year on Felix Hernandez's (RHP) profile might say he was born in 1986, but this dude is the oldest 32-year-old in the game. Since his debut in 2005, King Felix has thrown over 2550 innings in the bigs, which includes a stretch from 2006 to 2015 where he threw no fewer than 190 innings in a season and over 230 frames in a year five times. The wear and tear of all that hard work began to show in 2016 but really sunk in last season, as Felix was only able to pitch 86 innings. So far this year, Hernandez has started nine games and posts a respectable 5-3 record including three wins in his last four outings, but it doesn't take a long look to see that it is quite the feat that he's been involved in more Mariners wins than losses. Through nine starts, Hernandez has an ERA of 5.66 but he is trending in the wrong direction after posting a 7.02 ERA over his last three starts. The biggest reason for the King's decline has been the loss of velocity in his fastball, which was a pitch that once peaked at 98.5/MPH but has now dropped to just 90. Felix, just like everyone else is made of skin and bones and Father Time is undefeated. A bloated walk rate of 4.01 BB’s/9 means Hernandez is in trouble often and in danger of giving up runs/crooked numbers every start. The Mariners will also be without star second baseman Robinson Cano for the next 80 or so games, as he has been suspended for PED use. Coincidently enough, Cano's replacement, Dee Gordon, was suspended under the same policy when he was with the Marlins in 2016. Gordon told reporters this week that prior to last night's game he hadn't taken a ground ball since December. To suggest MLB is "clean" would be naive just as it would be to think that Cano is the only Mariner on the gas. There could be a few puckered buttholes in that clubhouse if Cano wasn't acting alone. If he was, the Mariners are still going to be missing one of their big bats. It's time to sell the M's before their stock price bottoms out.

As we highlighted with King Felix above win/loss records for pitchers can be very deceiving. A 1-3 start to the year for Michael Fulmer (RHP) is actually a microcosm of the Tigers' season as a whole in that both Fulmer and the Tabbies are better than their records would indicate. Fulmer has pumped up his strikeout rate this season over last and his xERA is lower than his surface number. Fulmer has also increased his swinging strike % nearly 2% over 2017. Since 2016, Fulmer's fly-ball % has gone down in every season and he's on pace to post his best number yet, while his groundball rate has held steady at 49% since his major-league debut. Fulmer's stock is low not only because the Tigers are undervalued as a unit, but also because he got rocked by these Mariners in his last outing, but much has changed for the M's in the week since. That loss was Fulmer's first since April 12th. Fulmer has racked up 26 K's in his last 22 innings including five in just 4.1 against Seattle last Saturday. The Tigers are one of the better value plays in baseball, as the market has not caught up to how good they really are after losing 98 games last season. Don't miss out.

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

Detroit +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)

Boston +121 over Cleveland
Chicago +113 over Houston
Seattle -1½ +137 over Texas