Milwaukee @ COLORADO
Milwaukee -1½ +240 over COLORADO

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -1½ +228 BET365 -1½ +240 SportsInteraction N/A  5DIMES -1½ +220

Posted at 11:15 AM EST.

8:10 PM EST. We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing all of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long:

Here are the pitching notes on today's two starters:

Continuing to fly under the radar, Freddy Peralta (RHP) made a case for more attention in 2017. Promoted to Double-A just after his 21st birthday in June, he finished the season with 63.2 IP at Biloxi where he dominated Southern League hitters. One reason for the lack of hype is that Peralta has no show-stopping pitches. The fastball tops out at just 92, but he cuts it, runs it, sinks it, and can move it all around the zone. The changes in speed and movement allow him to keep hitters off balance. He is especially good at locating up in the zone to put hitters away. He also has a potentially plus slider with good late bite that he throws 84-86. He is looking for a reliable third pitch and can flash average with both a curve and change, but neither pitch has any consistency right now. He finished the 2017 season throwing 120 innings and posting 169 strikeouts across two levels. At Triple-A Colorado Springs of the hitter friendly Pacific Coast League this season, Peralta has whiffed 46 batters in 34 innings covering seven starts. He also went 5-1 with an excellent PCL ERA of 3.31.This is a kid that has moved up the ranks rapidly, as he was in Double-A Ball last year and less than a year removed will make his MLB debut at Coors Field. 

Career Minor League stats:

92 G, 67 GS, 400 IP, 332 hits, 20 HR, 162 BB, 470 K’s, .219 BAA, 1.22 WHIP 

Jonathan Gray (RHP) is 4-4 after eight starts with a 4.24 ERA to go along with a BB/K split of 11/49 in 47 frames. Gray delivered a poor 5.79 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in April. However, those marks were entirely due to a 39% hit rate and 61% strand rate. His skill foundation was very sturdy with 9.6 K’s/9, 2.5 BB’s/9 and 47% grounders. 

Year to date: 8-8 +20.50 Units

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Our Pick

Milwaukee -1½ +240 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.80)

Washington +128 over Houston
Kansas City +122 over Baltimore
Milwaukee -1½ +144 over St. Louis
San Diego -103 over Toronto