Today's Free Picks for
BEST LINES: Pinnacle -1½ +174 BET365 -1½ +200 SportsInteraction N/A 5DIMES -1½ +175
Posted at 1:00 PM EST.
8:40 PM EST. We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing all of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long:
Here are the pitching notes on today's two starters:
Brandon Woodruff went 2-3 for the Brewers last year with a 4.81 ERA in 43 innings. He’s appeared in five games this year with four of those coming in relief but make no mistake that Woodrow is a starter and has the stuff to succeed. This under-the-radar starting pitcher prospect strained his hammy after a mid-season recall last year and never found his footing. However, he topped the minors in Ks in 2016 with mid-90s sinking stuff. The next step is refining his change-up, which will help struggles vL and enable him to tap into his enormous upside. Reports are that he has refined that changeup.
Meanwhile, Chad Bettis is your run of the mill Colorado starter whose surface ERA of 2.05 in as misleading as can be. Bettis has a BB/K split of 14/27 in 44 frames with an xERA of 4.63. A massive correction to his surface ERA is on the way, as Bettis does not have an elite skill in his profile. His command, groundball rate, line-drive rate, command and control are all below average.
Year to date: 8-7 +22.50 Units
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Our Pick
Milwaukee -1½ +200 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.00)