BEST LINES:  Pinnacle +112 BET365 +105 SportsInteraction +110 5DIMES +111

Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

8:15 PM EST. The South Side went into Kansas City last night and beat the 5-18 Royals best starter, Jakob Junis, and there is no reason they can’t beat Danny Duffy (LHP) here. Duffy has started five games and he’s winless (0-3) with a 5.26 ERA after 25 frames. He does have 26 K’s but the strikeouts are not supported by his 9% swing and miss rate and it’s worth noting that his swing and miss rate last game was just 6%. On April 21 against Detroit, Duffy started on three days rest and was torched to the tune of 10 hits and six earned runs in 4.2 innings. Last season, injuries (June oblique, Sept elbow) derailed Duffy’s hopes for a 2016 repeat and a fortunate hr/f kept it from being worse. Duffy’s second half control fell more in line with his weak first-pitch strike rate and that has continued into this year where his first-pitch strike rate is just 53%. His overall command and history says he has mid-rotation skills, as there's just one sub-4.00 xERA in his seven-year profile. September surgery, albeit minor, further tempers expectations and now he cannot be favored over anyone pitching for a team that has five wins in 23 games.

The White Sox acquired starters Lucas Giolito, a top pitching prospect, along with pitcher Reynaldo Lopez and pitcher Dane Dunning from the Washington Nationals on Dec. 7, 2016 for OF Adam Eaton. At the time, the White Sox acquired two nearly-ready high upside pitchers from the Nationals. Lucas Giolito was Washington's former #1 prospect that features a fastball/curve/change mix that dominated minor league hitters. Reynaldo Lopez is a right-hander with a lightning-quick arm who throws a high-90s fastball, and also complements it with a curve and change. Back in 2016, Lopez appeared in 11 games for the White Sox, six as a starter and five in relief, and had a 4.92 ERA after 44 frames. Last year, Lopez went 3-3 with a 4.72 ERA in 48 innings that covered five starts and three relief appearances but things clicked for him after a poor Triple-A 1st half, as his next 8 starts (47 IP, 63/15 K/BB, 2.68 ERA) fueled a mid-August promotion. Slowed by a nagging back in September, Lopez is fully healthy right now and his high-octane stuff gives this legit prospect a future, although his command may determine where. After three quality starts in four tries this season, Lopez has 23 K’s in 24 innings with a 11% swing and miss rate. He has walked 15 batters but expect big regression there, as his first-pitch strike rate of 65% is nearing elite status. This is an under-the radar starter that could bring some nice profits this season and that is worth investing in here. 

Please note: We have leans posted daily on Twitter and you can follow us there for leans, possible late plays or any other info we might have to pass along. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.