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Chicago -102 over KANSAS CITY

BEST LINES:  Pinnacle -102 BET365 -110 SportsInteraction -110 5DIMES -105

Posted at 12:00 PM EST.

7:15 PM EST. Ian Kennedy wowed with 2.30 ERA in five April starts last year but things soon fell apart in big way. After two years, his extreme fly-ball tilt is here to stay, leaving him at the mercy of hr/f. Kennedy’s strikeout rate took a second straight dip, and his control headed in the wrong direction, too, which first-pitch strike rate suggests was legit. Pitching for the Royals, Ian Kennedy will do more harm than good to your bankroll and therefore he must be faded when he’s evenly priced or favored.

Lucas Giolito is a dark horse candidate to be this year's version of Luis Severino. Giolito has a good prospect pedigree and better raw stuff than he showed in 2017. And even though he wasn't at his best in 2017, he missed bats 11% of the time and got strike one 62%. Those are both above average rates. He's a young arm who remains worthy of an investment when warranted and it is absolutely warranted here.

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Our Pick

Chicago -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)




BALTIMORE -1 +176 over N.Y. Mets
Chicago -1 +215 over DETROIT
Miami +177 over ATLANTA
COLORADO +190 over Houston