Philadelphia @ N.Y. RANGERS
Philadelphia +167 over N.Y. RANGERS

BEST LINES: Bet365 +167 Betfair +164 Pinnacle +162 SportsInteraction +160 

Posted at 11:45 AM EST. 

1:30 PM EST. OT included. The Rangers continue to be overvalued and until that changes our attack on them will remain relentless. The Rangers actually played one of their better games of the year yesterday in Boston with 13 high-quality scoring chances to the Bruins 10 during even strength play. However, Boston still held a 34-27 shot advantage and a 36-26 scoring chance advantage. The Rangers have been winning games like yesterday’s all season long because the opposition’s shooting percentage has been so low. Funny, isn’t it, how things tend to equal out over time? The Rangers have now allowed nine goals against in their past two games. The Blue Shirts have also lost three of their last five with only two victories over that span occurring against Nashville and Florida. New York was outshot by Nashville 31-19 and outshot by Florida 43-31. The Rangers will give Henrik Lundqvist the day off here in favor of Antti Raanta. It is also New York’s third game in four days and fourth game in six days.

Five of Philadelphia’s last seven games have gone into overtime so its three wins over that span is somewhat misleading. The Flyers have outshot four of their past five opponents and even registered 33 on Carolina three games ago. Carolina rarely gives up more than 25 a game. Philadelphia is creating many scoring chances lately. Against Nashville yesterday, they had 36 shots on net and held the Preds to a mere four high quality chances in five-on-five play. Philadelphia has shot up all the way to 11th in the league in high-scoring quality chances while the Rangers are 28th. Despite that, the Rangers have scored 70 goals while the Flyers have scored 42. Do you see the pure lunacy in that discrepancy? The bottom line is that the Rangers are not playing better than Philadelphia, nor are they in better form. This one is priced like the Rangers are a dominant team and so much better than the Flyers. That is simply false. New York may indeed win this game but they are grossly overvalued while the Flyers low shooting percentage is due for a correction to the good.   

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Our Pick

Philadelphia +167 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.34)

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